Global warming: 2023 to 2027 will likely be the warmest five years on record
Cracked and dried up sandbank on the Danube in Bavaria
Source: dpa/Armin Weigel
There is a high probability that global warming will exceed 1.5 degrees in at least one of the next five years. This is the result of a forecast by the World Meteorological Organization (WMO). The El Niño weather phenomenon will also cause higher temperatures.
DAccording to the United Nations, the years 2023 to 2027 will most likely be the hottest five years on record. “There is a 98 percent probability that at least one of the next five years and the entire five-year period will be the warmest on record,” the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) said on Wednesday. Global temperatures could therefore soon exceed the 1.5 degree target of the Paris climate agreement.
The warmest eight years on record were all between 2015 and 2022, but WMO forecasts temperatures will continue to rise. In addition to climate change, she also did this Weather phenomenon El Niño responsible for whose return she expects in the coming months.
El Niño occurs every two to seven years and can further increase global temperatures. The weather phenomenon is characterized by a warming of the surface water in the Pacific Ocean. It mostly causes severe droughts in Australia, Indonesia and parts of southern Asia, while causing heavier rainfall in some regions of Africa and South America, the southern United States and central Asia. El Niño last occurred in 2018 and 2019.
In order to avert climate change with catastrophic consequences, the world community agreed in the Paris Climate Agreement in 2015 to limit global warming to well below two degrees, if possible to 1.5 degrees compared to the pre-industrial age. The earth has already warmed up by more than 1.1 degrees as a result of mankind’s greenhouse gas emissions, in particular through the use of fossil fuels such as oil and natural gas.
According to the WMO, there is a 66 percent chance that at least one of the years 2023 to 2027 will cause warming to exceed the Paris Agreement agreed 1.5 degree limit will exceed. For each of these years, the WMO forecast a range of 1.1 degrees to 1.8 degrees Celsius.
“Aha! Ten minutes of everyday knowledge” is WELT’s knowledge podcast. Every Tuesday, Wednesday and Thursday we answer everyday questions from the field of science. Subscribe to the podcast at Spotify, Apple Podcasts, deezer, Amazon Music or directly via RSS feed.
